Base rate neglect

/beɪs reɪt nɪˈɡlɛkt/ noun

Definition

The tendency to ignore general probability information (base rates) when making judgments about specific cases. People focus on specific details while overlooking the underlying statistical reality of how common or rare something is in the general population.

Etymology

Developed in the 1970s by Kahneman and Tversky as part of their heuristics and biases research program. 'Base rate' comes from statistics, referring to the underlying frequency of occurrence, while 'neglect' indicates the systematic ignoring of this crucial information.

Kelly Says

Even doctors fall for this! They might overestimate disease probability based on symptoms while ignoring that the disease is extremely rare, leading to unnecessary anxiety and testing.

Translations

AMአማርኛ
መሠረት ደረጃን ለውጥ
me-se-ret de-re-ja-n le-wut
ARالعربية
تجاهل معدل الأساس
tajāhul maʿdād al-asās
BNবাংলা
মূল হার উপেক্ষা
mool ha-r u-pe-k-sha
CACatalà
neglectar la taxa base
neh-gleh-tar la tah-sa bah-se
CSČeština
zanedbání základního sazebního
za-ned-ba-ni- základ-ni-ho sa-zeb-ni-ho
DADansk
ignorere basisrenten
ih-gno-reh ba-sis-ren-ten
DEDeutsch
Vernachlässigung der Basisrate
fer-nah-läs-si-gung der bah-sis-rah-teh
ELΕλληνικά
αδιαφορία για την βασική ισοτιμία
a-di-a-fo-ri-a ya tin va-si-ki iso-ti-mia
ESEspañol
neglectar la tasa base
neh-gleh-tar la tah-sa bah-seh
FAفارسی
نادیده گرفتن نرخ پایه
na-di-deh-gerftan nar-kh-e pa-yeh
FISuomi
perusasteen laiminlyönti
pe-rus-as-teen la-i-min-lyön-ti
FRFrançais
négligence du taux de base
neh-gleh-sahn du taw de bahs
GUGU
મૂળ દર ભૂલ
mool dar bhul
HAHA
fuskantar darin farko
fus-kan-tar da-rin farko
HEעברית
התעלמות מהיחסה הבסיסית
hit-a-al-ma meh ha-ya-chah ha-ba-si-tit
HIहिन्दी
मूल दर की उपेक्षा
mool dar ki upeksha
HUMagyar
alapszázalékszemeltetés
a-lap-sza-za-leks-ze-mel-te-tes
IDBahasa Indonesia
mengabaikan tingkat dasar
men-ga-bo-kan tingkat da-sar
IGIG
ịgbagharị ọnọdụ
ee-gba-ha-ri on-o-du
ITItaliano
negligenza del tasso di base
neh-lee-ghen-tsa del tas-so di bah-seh
JA日本語
基準率無視
k ihan-ryū mu-shi
KKKK
негіздік бағаны игнорилеу
ne-gi-zdik ba-ga-nyn ig-no-ri-leu
KMKM
បរិមាន តម្លៃ បោះបង់
ba-ri-ma-an tam-lai bo-ah-bong
KO한국어
기준율 무시
ki-jun-yul mu-si
MRMR
मूल किंमत नसल्या
mool kimat naslya
MSBahasa Melayu
mengabaikan kadar asas
men-ga-bo-kan ka-dar a-sas
MYမြန်မာ
အစိတ်အပိုင်း ကြေညာချက် စွန့်
a-si-et-a-po-ng kye-nya-cha-k swun
NLNederlands
neglected basispercentage
neh-glek-ted bah-sis-per-sen-ta-ge
NONorsk
ignorere basisrenten
ih-gno-reh ba-sis-ren-ten
PAPA
ਮੁਢਲੀ ਦਰ 忽視
mu-dhal-ee dar hu-t-si
PLPolski
zaniedbanie stawki bazowej
za-nie-d-ba-nie staw-ki ba-zo-wej
PTPortuguês
negligência da taxa base
neh-lee-jen-sia da tah-sa bah-seh
RORomână
neglijarea ratei de bază
neh-lee-ja-ra ra-tei de bah-za
RUРусский
неучёт базовой ставки
ne-oo-chet ba-zo-voy stav-ki
SVSvenska
ignorera basräntan
ih-gno-reh ba-sraen-tan
SWKiswahili
kusahau kiwango cha msingi
ku-sa-hau ki-wan-go cha m-sin-gi
TAதமிழ்
அடிப்படை விகித மறப்பு
a-di-ba-da vi-ki-tha ma-ru-ppu
TEతెలుగు
మूल వிக్రయం నిర్లక్ష్యం
mool vi-kra-yam nir-lak-shyam
THไทย
ละเลยอัตราฐาน
lah-loy a-tra-than
TLTL
pag-a-alis ng base rate
pa-ga-a-lis ng bah-se ra-te
TRTürkçe
temel oran ihmal
teh-mel o-ran ih-mal
UKУкраїнська
ігнорування базової ставки
ih-no-ru-van-nya ba-zo-voyi stav-kyi
URاردو
نسب بنیادی کی غفلت
nisb ba-ni-adi ki ghaf-lat
VITiếng Việt
bỏ qua tỷ lệ cơ sở
bo qua ty le co so
YOYO
fẹ́ẹ̀rọ̀ ẹ̀tọ̀
fe-e-ro-o et-o-to
ZH中文
忽略基准率
hū guī jī zhǔn lǜ
ZUZU
ukuthiwe ngokuthiwe
oo-ku-thi-we ngoo-ku-thi-we

Related Words

Explore More Words

Get the Word Orb API

Complete word intelligence in one call. Free tier — 50 lookups/day.